Why Software Estimates Are Always Wrong: It's the Addition, Not the Guess
Right-skewed tickets, merge points, and a 15-line Monte Carlo script that turns your sprint into a 50% and a 90% date
Oct 5, 20268 min read

Search for a command to run...
Articles tagged with #project-management
Right-skewed tickets, merge points, and a 15-line Monte Carlo script that turns your sprint into a 50% and a 90% date

Every task passes its estimate check. The project fails anyway. Here's the reproduction, the root cause, and the fix.

Every engineer misses dates. What people remember is how long you sat on it.

A 20-line simulation, one unfamiliar task, and the three-part answer that makes your dates hold.
